RUB to USD: The Best Way to Transfer Money Between Russia and the US - Wise
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The EMTA Template Terms for Non-Deliverable FX Forward Transactions, Non-Deliverable Currency Option Transactions and Non-Deliverable Cross Currency Transactions for various currency pairs are set forth below. These Template Terms, in each case, are the terms currently recommended by EMTA for forwards, options and cross currency transactions for each such currency pair. Please note that the Template Terms are not intended to be a substitute for a confirmation, but are intended to reflect market consensus on material non-trade terms that may be incorporated into a trade confirmation, unless otherwise agreed by the parties. Market participants are welcome to incorporate the Template Terms for any currency pair into their trade confirmations or may agree on different terms.
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Also known as the mid-market rate, the spot rate or the real exchange rate, the interbank rate is the exchange rate used by banks and large institutions when trading large volumes of foreign currency with one another. It is not made for individuals and smaller businesses, as smaller money transfers tend to attract a higher mark-up, so that the exchange offering the service can make a profit.
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Falling oil prices and fears about capital flight helped push the Russian ruble to its weakest level against the U.S. dollar in a year on Monday, the latest milestone in what has been a dramatic reversal of fortune for the currency.
Since Jan. 1, the greenback has appreciated by more than 12% against the ruble, according to FactSet data. This makes the ruble the second-worst-performing major emerging-market currency after the Argentine peso, according to Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex.
While the Russian government has historically kept a tight grip on its currency, international sanctions and falling oil and gas prices have made stabilizing the ruble more difficult, said Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute for International Finance, in commentary emailed to MarketWatch.
Even the recent production cut announced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, has failed to induce a meaningful lift in crude prices. Brent crude BRN00, +0.76% BRNM23 for June delivery fell 94 cents, or 1.1%, to settle at $84.18 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe Monday. Brent crude prices have fallen by roughly 20% since April 1, 2020, according to FactSet data.
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The Russian ruble is hovering near its lowest level since April 2022 as the Russian economic struggles continue and the US dollar index (DXY) rebounds. The USD/RUB exchange rate was trading at 80.6, 58% above the lowest level in 2022.
The Russian ruble has come under pressure as concerns about energy and other commodity prices continue. Natural gas price is trading at the lowest level since 2021 while crude oil has tumbled to about $70 per barrel. And as I wrote in this article on Thursday, some analysts believe that oil prices will tumble to $60 soon.
The performance of energy prices is important for the Russian economy because of its vast resources. For example, Russia is the third-biggest producer of crude oil after the United States and Saudi Arabia. It is also the biggest producer of natural gas in the world. Therefore, the country makes more money when these prices are soaring.
All these factors are important because Russia generates most of its income through commodity manufacturing. The situation has been worsened by the vast sanctions imposed against Russia by Western countries.
At the same time, Russia has seen an influx of Indian rupees that it cannot use. Data shows that it is holding rupees worth over $140 billion and the figure is rising every month. This situation happened as the volume of Indian imports from Russia jumped.
The daily chart shows that the USD to RUB exchange rate has been in a bullish trend in the past few months. It is now hovering slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level. Also, the pair is being supported by the 25-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMA).
It has formed an ascending channel shown in green and is now at the middle point. Therefore, more upside will be confirmed if the price moves above the key resistance point at 82.93. A move above this price will see it jump to the next psychological level of 90.
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Russia said last week that it wants the European countries that buy its natural gas to make their payments in rubles, rather than dollars or euros. A month ago, that might have seemed like a pretty good deal: The ruble was down 40%, at 139 rubles to the dollar, in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.